Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.958195 14.584933 16.450408 18.774647 21.631577 25.081884 29.649691
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.840083 12.785374 15.188420 18.452381 22.900932 28.969376 38.309025
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.652044 11.743943 14.462273 18.389105 24.175008 32.884153 48.195480
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.903395 11.105757 14.087858 18.625328 25.786470 37.603593 61.382180
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.109039 10.289299 13.327349 18.125213 26.093978 40.222412 72.077532
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.588807 9.785777 12.932005 18.084526 27.093744 44.320009 88.501930
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.987473 9.105980 12.195138 17.379399 26.771751 45.731457 99.428716
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.415183 8.421888 11.385299 16.445607 25.851851 45.621245 106.142944
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.959050 7.876817 10.742626 15.717234 25.194863 45.919855 114.666015
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.118242 8.258766 11.576878 17.643287 30.168258 61.553108 203.423164
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.028390 8.248927 11.774867 18.450605 33.033598 73.524813 315.340479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.669262 7.792326 11.190460 17.700270 32.199290 73.965226 353.052862
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.430102 7.526277 10.931915 17.603096 33.027747 80.836838 490.763007
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.179003 7.226173 10.592228 17.305976 33.316515 86.171373 667.601594
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.988169 7.011688 10.383736 17.248417 34.214450 94.642027 1046.776920
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.853624 6.880637 10.310968 17.462844 35.908725 108.177794 2173.912889
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.636335 6.599633 9.947148 17.008713 35.615192 112.242817 3443.695614
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.492222 6.433898 9.782062 16.971741 36.550146 123.886159 10336.691500
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.279399 6.141819 9.365604 16.330357 35.513566 123.563939 17875.700046
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.052244 5.817016 8.872948 15.479101 33.695562 117.552254 18173.885784
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.861469 5.548058 8.473364 14.813580 32.382573 114.271392 24179.071207
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.980646 5.814956 9.095909 16.570532 39.391681 178.358976 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.966214 5.847955 9.272869 17.304254 43.311611 234.008536 NaN